Optimalisation after rounds 1-6 added (using previous season data)
Below can be seen column after column of the optimisation process used.
Initially, ALL parameters zeroed yields a MAE of 32.4
Then find optimal Blowout and factor (35 and 21%) giving a MAE of 30.25
Zero the Blowout, find optimal "flat" HGA giving a MAE of 31.89
Optimal blowout in, find best "flat HGA (=8) giving MAE of 29.44
Find best individual HGA's with blowout 35, 16%
.......
BEST blowout/penalty Individual HGA and blowout prediction new MAE 27.92
Comments
Post a Comment