Rounds 1 to 6 - model into action
Hmm after weekly manually calculating the MAE of all the other Squiggle Models I have decided to use the 2017 data to predict early 2018 rounds - we will see how well this works.
Round 13 - 2 Mullumby Defender identified Line Bets
Note Gold Coast selection is removed because of poor reliability at winning selected games Gold Coast win 30% of games selected by Defender to win St Kilda lose 89% of the games Defender selects them to lose Product = 27% which is less than the optimised parameter of 35% - so no bet
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